Technoserve Regrow Yirga- Post‑Monetization Impact Study for the USDA Food for Progress
Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda | January 2026 - July 2026
Client: TechnoServe, USDA
Service: MEL, MSD
The Post‑Monetization Impact Study for the USDA Food for Progress Regrow Yirga Program evaluates the market effects of selling 200,000 MT of U.S.-donated Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda in 2025. The proceeds of this sale funded an extension of TechnoServe’s Regrow Yirga program, which supports Ethiopia’s coffee sector. This study examines whether monetization activities disrupted local agricultural production, displaced commercial wheat trade, or affected storage, logistics, and pricing dynamics in East Africa. Using a mixed‑methods approach—integrating secondary trade data, price trend analysis, and primary interviews—the assessment establishes a baseline market context and analyzes impacts related to supply, demand, market behavior, and operational efficiency. Findings will inform USDA’s compliance with Bellmon requirements and support improved design and evaluation of future monetization activities
MSA is the independent third-party research partner responsible for designing and executing the post-monetization impact assessment, examining whether monetization activities disrupted local agricultural production, displaced commercial wheat trade, or affected storage, logistics, and pricing dynamics in East Africa. Using a mixed-methods approach, integrating secondary trade data, price trend analysis, and primary key informant interviews, MSA will produce both a Baseline Market Context and a final Post-Monetization Impact Report for USDA and TechnoServe stakeholders.
